A Ranking of the Year's Most Enticing Awards Bait
In
this installment of my new Oscar Bait feature, I’m covering the Best Actress
race for this year’s Oscars, which is as hammy as ever. If you missed Part I, in which I covered the
Best Picture race as it stood at the end of October, I hope you’ll check it out
here.
The
Best Actress race is always interesting for a few reasons. For one thing, the Academy has a sordid
history when it comes to diversity in this award – only one actress of color
has ever won the award (Halle Barry, as I think we all recall), and it is also
not often given to older actresses – for evidence of this confirmation, check
out the below age distribution of the four Oscars for acting:
Those
statistics make this year’s race pretty interesting, since 4 of my top 5 on the
list are over 50 and the other is knocking at the door at age 49. So maybe that statistic will be thrown out
the window this year? Or maybe it means that I am overlooking the possibilities
of a couple of younger ingénues, such as Amy Adams in American Hustle or Adele Exarchopoulos in foreign sensation Blue is
the Warmest Color.
The
other factor that makes my below-predicted list interesting and questionable is
that it consists of all former Oscar winners.
That had never happened in any category in Oscar history until last
year’s Best Supporting Actor lineup, making it quite anomalous if it were to
happen again. Yet when pressed, none of
the fringe candidates for that 5th slot seem formidable enough to
knock out Ms. Streep. This is an ongoing
situation I’ll have to monitor.
For
the time being, here are the official Oscar Bait rankings for Best Actress as
of November, 2013:
(1) Cate Blanchett, Blue
Jasmine
This
is really one of the baitiest performances in recent memory by an actress, and
you know what? It’s an excellent one that deserves every bit of praise and
awards it will get. Woody Allen has
directed 16 performances to an Oscar nomination, and 6 of those to a win. 5 of the 6 Oscar-winning performances in his
films have been women. Gotta give it up
to the Woodster, the man knows how to direct crazy female characters.
(2) Sandra Bullock, Gravity
A
physical and emotional performance in one of the year’s most acclaimed and
financially successful films, Bullock digs deeper than she ever has in Alfonso
Cuaron’s Gravity without sacrificing
too many of her quintessential “Bullock-isms.”
That last factor is important.
The Oscars love it when stars that have an established film-persona
break character, without losing the things that make them a star in the first
place. I could cite numerous examples
here, but Exhibit A is Julia Roberts in Erin
Brockovich. The fact that this film
will be vying to win the whole damn thing on Oscar night (unlike Ms.
Blanchett’s Blue Jasmine) certainly
gives SaBu an outside shot at stealing her 2nd leading actress
Oscar.
(3) Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
Don’t
count out this Brit veteran who has been around the Oscar block a few times,
with a win both in acting and writing. Remarkably, it’s been 17 years since she was last a nominee, but Ms.
Thompson has still been as prolific as ever during that period, so it was only
a matter of time before she would end up there again. Her
role as the persnickety P.L. Travers, writer of Mary Poppins, is sure to be entertaining and received well commercially. I doubt she will win many critics awards for
this role but she promises to rack up enough precursor nominations and perhaps
wins to make her a viable contender on Oscar night.
(4) Judi Dench, Philomena
Ah, Ms. Dench. The other Brit veteran in this year’s
race. Playing the amazingly baity role
of a woman trying to locate her son that she gave up for adoption, Dench will still probably have a mountain to climb to beat the three
contenders ahead of her. However, she is solidly in in place for a nomination at this
point and with Oscar guru Harvey Weinstein backing her campaign, I’m not ready
to count her out for the win, either.
(5) Meryl Streep, August:
Osage County
I
have no idea if Meryl Streep will be able to snag a nom this year or not. Usually when she looks at a camera Oscar will
shower her with praise, but her last few roles have been mightily hammy, and
I’m wondering this will begin to show its wear with the Oscar voters this
year. I really have little interest in
seeing the not-well-reviewed August:
Osage County but I am curious to decide for myself whether this is a
performance that will be worthy of a nomination, should she get one.